On Sunday, November 30, 2025, residents of Fort Worth can expect a quiet, overcast Thanksgiving day with a high of 63°F and a 22% chance of light rain — a near-perfect match for the region’s historical norms. Wind speeds will hover around 7 mph, and with a UV Index of just 1, there’s no need for sunscreen, but a light jacket might be worth packing for the evening chill, when temperatures dip to 46°F. It’s the kind of day that feels like autumn settling in — crisp, calm, and quietly predictable.
Thanksgiving Weather: A Familiar Pattern
The National Weather Service Fort Worth/Dallas (NWS FWD) keeps meticulous records, and their data shows that 63°F is practically the average high for Thanksgiving in the Dallas-Fort Worth Metroplex. Since records began, the region has seen 19 freezes on Thanksgiving Day — not uncommon for North Texas, where cold fronts roll in like clockwork after Halloween. The 19% chance of measurable precipitation on this date? Also typical. This year’s 22% forecast isn’t unusual; it’s just the weather doing what it’s done for decades.
Interestingly, last year on the same date, Fort Worth saw only 61°F with zero rain and lighter winds. So while Sunday’s forecast feels mild, it’s not a dramatic shift — just a gentle nudge above average. That’s the thing about Texas weather in late November: it’s rarely extreme, but it’s never boring.
Across the Metroplex: Slight Variations, Same Story
Just 30 miles east in Dallas, AccuWeather.com predicts a slightly cooler day: 62°F high, 49°F low. The difference is minimal — less than a degree in most models — but it’s telling. Even within the same metro area, microclimates matter. Arlington might catch a breeze off the Trinity River that Fort Worth doesn’t. Tarrant County’s higher elevation could mean a few degrees cooler at dawn. These aren’t errors in forecasting; they’re nuances.
And while Weather25.com estimates Dallas gets about 115 millimeters of rain total in November — spread across 3 to 8 rainy days — this particular Sunday isn’t expected to add much to that tally. The rain, if it comes, will likely be a misty drizzle, not a downpour. No flooding. No travel chaos. Just damp sidewalks and the smell of wet leaves.
November’s Quiet Transformation
November in North Texas is a month of transition — not just in weather, but in rhythm. The summer heat fades like a tired guest. The air grows sharper. The sky, often clear, becomes a canvas of layered clouds. Climate-data.org notes that November 28 is historically the coldest day of the month, with lows dipping to 44.2°F. This year, that cold snap is already behind us. Sunday’s forecast suggests we’ve passed the steepest part of the decline.
That said, the month wasn’t always this gentle. AccuWeather.com’s extended forecast shows a wild swing: a blistering 89°F on November 15, followed by a plunge to 30°F just days later. That’s the kind of rollercoaster that makes Texans roll their eyes and grab another sweater. But by the 30th, the pendulum has mostly settled.
What This Means for Families and Travelers
If you’re heading to a Thanksgiving dinner in Fort Worth or Dallas, don’t stress about packing rain gear. A light coat and closed-toe shoes will do. The roads won’t be slick. The airport won’t delay flights. The turkey won’t get soggy.
But here’s what you might notice: the quiet. Fewer people outside. Less traffic. The kind of stillness that comes when the whole region pauses for a meal. That’s the real weather pattern here — not temperature or precipitation, but the rhythm of community. The forecast gives you the numbers. The experience gives you the feeling.
Looking Ahead: Winter’s Whisper
With December just around the corner, meteorologists are already watching for the first major cold front of the season. The NWS FWD says the current pattern — mild days, cool nights, low rain chances — could persist through mid-December. But Texas winters are notoriously unpredictable. One year, it’s snow in January. The next, it’s 70°F on New Year’s Day.
For now, though, Sunday’s forecast feels like a gift: warm enough for the kids to run around after dinner, cool enough to make the pumpkin pie taste better. No storms. No chaos. Just a quiet, ordinary day — and in North Texas, that’s something to be thankful for.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is 63°F typical for Thanksgiving in Fort Worth?
Yes. According to the National Weather Service Fort Worth/Dallas, the historical average high for Thanksgiving in the DFW Metroplex is exactly 63°F, with an average low of 43°F. This year’s forecast matches that average closely, making it statistically normal rather than unusual.
Why does AccuWeather show different temperatures than Weathershogun.com?
Different forecasting models use slightly different data inputs and algorithms. AccuWeather’s 66°F high for Fort Worth on November 30, 2025, is just 3 degrees higher than Weathershogun.com’s 63°F — well within the margin of error for short-term forecasts. These minor differences reflect model sensitivity, not conflicting data.
How does this year’s November weather compare to past years?
EaseWeather.com projects November 2025 will be slightly warmer than the 30-year average for Tarrant County. While last year’s Thanksgiving was cooler (61°F), the past five Novembers have averaged highs between 64°F and 71°F. This year’s forecast fits right in the middle — neither unusually warm nor cold.
Should I worry about rain affecting my Thanksgiving plans?
Not really. A 22% chance of precipitation means a low probability of measurable rain — and even if it drizzles, it’s unlikely to exceed a tenth of an inch. Most Thanksgiving gatherings in the DFW area are indoors or under covered patios. The real impact? Maybe damp grass for kids playing outside — nothing more.
What’s the long-term trend for November weather in North Texas?
November has been gradually warming over the past 30 years, with average highs rising by about 1.5°F since the 1990s, according to Climate-data.org. Freezes are becoming less frequent in late November, and rainfall patterns are more erratic — but overall, the month remains a stable transition between fall and winter.
